[ivalm]

I am talking about serological studies in Italy and South Korea. For confirmed cases death rates are 5%, but that’s because a bunch of people are positive and untested (many of them asymptomatic).

One thing to remember that at any one time there might be 99% not serious, but that includes a bunch of people who are recovering from serious or who will degrade to serious. Over the full cycle of the disease a much larger percentage will have a serious state. Close to 1% will die.

At the same time, being in prone position, getting steroids, etc really do seem to increase survival so maybe the death rate now is lower.