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by saint_abroad
2164 days ago
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> In New York, the hospitals are so far under capacity Do you think 20% exposure (at a cost of 17.5k lives) buys you herd immunity? Even in hotspots like New York City that have been hit hardest by the pandemic, initial studies suggest that perhaps 15-21%6,7 of people have been exposed so far. In getting to that level of exposure, more than 17,500 of the 8.4 million people in New York City (about 1 in every 500 New Yorkers) have died [...]
To reach herd immunity for COVID-19, likely 70% or more of the population would need to be immune.
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/from-our-experts/early-herd-immu... |
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The hope is that its more like 20% gets you herd immunity while practicing moderate social distancing. It's not too unreasonable. Japan has been able to avoid lockdowns and mass testing by mostly just using masks and avoiding very close conversations.