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by dantillberg
2185 days ago
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> This is why we can have an election outcome that no one in the media predicted. I presume you're referring to the 2016 presidential election in the US, and if so that's patently false. FiveThirtyEight estimated a ~28% probability[0] that Trump would win, and other major media outlets had similar outlooks prior to the election. Many willfully interpreted "28% chance" as "with any luck it won't happen," but you can't say that the media didn't think it was possible. [0]: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ (edit: updated with link to actual prediction by FiveThirtyEight) |
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