[tossmeout]

This is one of those comments that seems interesting and believable because it's so confidently stated. But is any of this speculation actually accurate?

I agree with the second half of the comment. Facebook has been capricious, and thus it's hard to trust building on top of them for the long term. But the first few paragraphs just seem like unsubstantiated gossip.

[kinkrtyavimoodh]

TBH that's true for the original article too. I feel that most of these opinion pieces are 'just so' post-facto explanations. I'd rather have a prediction market where people put predictions and confidence values along with detailed explanations, and then we can see in a few years how things play along.

It's very easy to make confident pronouncements when they are basically unfalsifiable.

[ovx99]

You read "confidently-stated," I immediately read "has a personal vendetta."