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by IAmGraydon 2185 days ago
I'll just put the data in front of you and let you decide:

https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en/test

Go to the chart for California. Percent positive tests and hospitalizations are the most important factors here. Hospitalizations have gone up, undoubtedly (from 4,500 to now almost 6,000). That said, percent positive tests has remained flat. Deaths in CA also continue to trend down.

What conclusion do you draw from that? To me, it appears that the concentration of Covid in the population of California has not increased. At the same time, there are more hospitalizations. Perhaps Covid is not getting worse in CA, but more people are finding out that they have it due to increased testing and are then going to the hospital out of an abundance of caution.

As an aside, you and the guy you're replying to are obviously extremely emotional about this. Learn to recognize that and realize that if you're feeling emotional when looking at data, some part of your brain cares way too much to remain objective. Both of you are clearly biased.

1 comments

Your own data shows that you are just plain wrong. Percent positives at the beginning of the month are 4%. Number of tests have skyrocketed, if true cases are flat, then percent positive would plummet. Instead they have almost doubled to 7%. Your supposed lack of emotion is BS. You obviously have some internal or external motivation to believe there isn't a problem when there clearly is one. I live in the mountains in NorCal, there ain't a case around. However, as a one-time virologist (it's been almost two decades since I published a peer reviewed paper on SARS-1), I can assure you there is no chance that you are correct in your "hypothesis" that "Covid is not getting worse in CA."