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by mrfusion
2186 days ago
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Here’s a flu comparison: https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditions-and-diseas... In the U.S, 119,131 people have died of COVID-19, as of June 20, 2020. In the U.S., from Oct. 1, 2019 – Apr. 4, 2020, the CDC estimates that 24,000 to 62,000 people died from the flu. So I’d entertain the idea that COVID is 2-4 times worse than the Flu. (But you could imagine a bad flu season coming close to that.) However Flu targets more young people so perhaps if we look at years of life lost that gap would close further. |
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> In the U.S., from Oct. 1, 2019 – Apr. 4, 2020, the CDC estimates that 24,000 to 62,000 people died from the flu. (The CDC does not know the exact number because the flu is not a reportable disease in most parts of the U.S.)
Those estimates are complex statistical modelling that use a combination of laboratory confirmed cases, death certificates, excess mortality, but also sampling of calls to primary care for flu like symptoms.
The Covid-19 deaths talked about on the Hopkins page are complex, but they come from states and many states are reporting deaths for people who were confirmed by testing to have had covid-19, or where covid-19 was listed as the cause of death (but not just listed) on the death certificate.