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by DanBC 2190 days ago
> the CDC estimates its IFR at 0.26%:

You've misunderstood this. Why didn't you link to the original CDC document? Please could you show where CDC estimates IFR at 0.26%?

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scena...

> New data on COVID-19 is available daily; information about its biological and epidemiological characteristics remain limited, and uncertainty remains around nearly all parameter values.

> The parameters in the scenarios:

    Are estimates intended to support public health preparedness and planning.
    Are not predictions of the expected effects of COVID-19.
    Do not reflect the impact of any behavioral changes, social distancing, or other interventions.
1 comments

The CDC only lists the estimate for CFR (.4%) on that page.

If you consider their projection that 35% of all infected cases remain asymptomatic (same page), the overall infection fatality rate (IFR) drops to just 0.26 %.

But they give 5 projections, and they say that none of these are accurate estimations, they're only to be used for modelling, and that they will change as new information is found.