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by koheripbal 2191 days ago
tldr: Nope.
1 comments

I think the answer is not "nope" but "probably nope". That video is perhaps overconfident in our ability to detect these storms.

From the article:

> One-third of major storms arrive unexpectedly, according to the SWPC’s own 2010 analysis. And that’s not just the small storms. According to a news article in Science, the SWPC might be also be poor at identifying the characteristics of severe storms, since they are so rare.

Sometimes you get close enough to zero that for any reasonable application, the answer can be rounded to zero.