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by jchw 2195 days ago
> I think the only way criminals will standardize on E2EE is if every platform and communication mechanism is E2EE by default. Otherwise they will continue to make mistakes or think they can slip under the radar.

FWIW, I believe this is the future if lawmakers don’t prevent it. A look at some E2EE software today:

- WhatsApp

- Matrix

- Signal

- iMessage

- Firefox Send

- MEGA

- ...

The list will grow.

In my opinion, E2EE today is like TLS 10 years ago. TLS was once a nice-to-have when it came to communication that was not strictly necessary to encrypt. Today, TLS is more sophisticated, stronger, and easier to implement than ever, and damn near a necessity for anything, even toys.

Granted... E2EE is necessarily harder, since it requires application-level implementation of crypto primitives, things definitely get complicated. Still, I believe the state of the art will continue to improve and tooling with it. Eventually there will probably be defacto libraries and maybe even OS frameworks to deal with E2EE key management, trust, etc.

To be clear, I view this as strictly a good thing and an inevitability. I don’t think transport encryption and encryption-at-rest are good enough anymore for private communication. Of course for public sites like Twitter or Tiktok it’s all you would logically get, but for any group or direct communication I now believe E2EE is slowly becoming the new baseline, and it’s mostly the complexity of it that hampers adoption.

Now that iMessage and WhatsApp are E2EE though, there is a lot of messages flowing that, exploits notwithstanding, are “truly” private, today, and I think the number will only go up. The only real question in my mind is, who’s next?

As far as criminals making slip-ups, this is guaranteed; even the best make mistakes obviously. But assuming all criminals are foolish and stupid is a mistake; I believe there’s a lot of selection bias in there, since we don’t get to find out those who truly never get caught. Time will tell if any of this really matters, or, if, as usual, it’s just another panic that has no tangible effects. I vote on the latter, but I still do believe proliferation of E2EE will change the game in ways we can’t really anticipate 100%.