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by troughway
2193 days ago
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How do you figure this won't work? The article mentions the indie.vc "mortality rate" is 10% whereas for VC-backed ventures it's 44%. Granted, just because a company is alive doesn't mean it's making the investors much money. I imagine having more companies around for longer would ultimately mean a lot of little payoffs that cover their own investments rather than one big payoff that covers every other investment. |
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That's hardly enough time or data to tell what the actual mortality rate is full cycle. A lot of startups will fail in year 6, 7 or 8 after years of pivots and trying to grow.
> On average, they’re growing 100% in the first year, and 300% the second year
Assuming $0 in rev on day 1, of course they grow 100% in Y1. These numbers don't mean anything.
Philosophically I agree with Indie.vc. I think there is untapped potential in smaller companies/markets that mostly is overlooked by traditional VC. But I don't think VC is the answer to that problem. There needs to be some other funding vehicle that can withstand smaller returns over longer periods of time (like a loan, which this seems to be closer to).