[logjam]

Here's an alternative equation: bet on yourself, instead of on whether millions of others will succeed or fail.

[giardini]

I would rather hedge my bets.

Although one might temper one's judgement by reading "Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One's Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments" by Justin Kruger and David Dunning of Cornell University"

http://www.apa.org/journals/features/psp7761121.pdf

Non-pdf URLs at:

http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=Unskilled+and+Unawa...

Should the article apply, one may be doomed!-)

[steveplace]

And you could bet on yourself by trading options ;)