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by fizixer 2198 days ago
Best guess: Jim Keller came in with guns blazing about how Moore's law is not dead and if you believe so you're stupid.

He was a comp-architecture guy counting on the device/physics folks to deliver. They didn't, while Jim put his reputation on the line. He probably resigned in disappointment and/or protest.

- Moore's law is dead at the physics level.

- Exponential tech progress doesn't stop but it won't be in the form of Si FETs, at least not in the foreseeable future.

- There is plenty of opportunity at the higher layers of abstraction though.

- Fortunately the AGI problem has escaped Moore's law (AGI can happen with existing node technology). And in my opinion that's all that matters for the next 10 years.

3 comments

If AGI is solved, it most certainly won’t be in the next decade and will not be economical on current node tech.
What is the AGI problem? I've never heard of it.
Artificial General Intelligence.
Got a source for that AGI claim?
Source is me.

(Of all the naysayers who I've come across in the past many years, if a tenth of them were willing to fund me to work on AGI, by now I'd be well on my way to prove them wrong. But therein lies the rub. Why would they spend money on being proven wrong?)

Naysayers have already decided they won't invest in AGI. Perhaps if you approached yaysayers instead of naysayers, you'd have a better chance of getting funded. The only question they would have to answer is, why fund you, specifically, instead of someone else.
That is my current strategy, i.e., to work with the yaysayers. "Why me" would be the least of my worries. My biggest hurdle was getting a Ph.D degree in a highly multidisciplinary field and that's now out of the way.
I get the impression you have a grudge towards something but it isn't clear to me what that is.

If you have already cleared the biggest hurdle you can think of, why the grudge? It should be smooth sailing for you from hereon out.

I just want to clarify (for the record) that I didn't mean investor community (which I have not approached yet).

I was mainly talking about my friends (most, actually all, of whom are naysayers) and people I interact with online.