[rumanator]

> From what we know, 90% of the population already could already have it.

Bullshit. Spain, which was hit quite hard, already did widespread antibody studies and the result was that only about 5% of the population might have contracted it.

https://english.elpais.com/society/2020-05-14/antibody-study...

Educate yourself and please don't spread lies and ignorance.

[nicc]

What about this: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/23/nyregion/coronavirus-anti...

Also, you picked 5%, but in your article they also say it's almost 15% in some areas. You're not spreading lies now, right?

[rumanator]

> What about this:

What? 1 in 5 in a city is quite far from 90%, isn't it?

If you spew the "90% might have it" bullshit claim when you were fully aware that at best you know of a city which might have 20% then it looks like you are intentionally and knowingly spreading lies and false information. Don't do that.

> Also, you picked 5%, but in your article they also say it's almost 15% in some areas. You're not spreading lies now, right?

We were making global claims about how 90% might already contracted covid19. I presented a country-wide study, which as of today is the best and most extensive one done at a country-level.

The study points out a 5% infection rate in one of the countries which so far has been hit the hardest.

Do you have a problem with that study?

Moreover, the hotspot you cherry-picked refer to specific cities and municipalities. Soria, For example, barely has a population of 90k. Madrid comes second with 11%, which is 6% higher than the national average and still lower than 90%.

So even your cherry picking doesn't deflect the fact that your claim that 90% might have it is clearly bullshit and that you are knowingly and intentionally lying and spreading false information.

[mattmanser]

I also wonder how effective these anti body tests are, and their false negative rate.

In actual trials, has a single one actually been shown to work reliably?

Here in the UK there's a new story every week about how yet another antibody test has been withdrawn or rejected by PHE because it wasn't accurate.

[lbeltrame]

Most studies I've seen did their own validation because of this. Of course this doesn't mean the tests were accurate (or not).

[arcturus17]

Your original point was:

> From what we know, 90% of the population already could already have it.

Well, no, from what we know, 5% of the population in Spain - one of the hardest-hit countries in the world, I might add - had it.

Whether the seroprevalence is up to 15% in some areas is of no consequence to your original point.

[raverbashing]

Since when 1 in 5 means 90% now?

> Also, you picked 5%

You mean, the actual title of the article and the average of the whole country?

> Antibody study shows just 5% of Spaniards have contracted the coronavirus