I'd bet it all. The CCP is like God within the borders of China. They have omnipotence and omniscience.
To be clear, I wouldn't bet it all that the passwords are stored in plaintext. But I would bet it all that the CCP has their own special key and/or backdoor access which allows them to continue having omnipotence and omniscience while keeping pesky foreign powers out.
After my initial laugh at your response, I realized 7% is about what I'd bet too.
My first foray into options trading I lost around 3% of my net worth, and I'd say I'm more than twice as confident about this than I was about that.
I'd evaluate the odds of the CCP doing something, to be in line with the odds of them benefiting from doing something, regardless of the expense/risk to their populace.
There's nothing I'd really put past them, we know for a fact they harvest organs from political dissidents, but we're skeptical on if they'd store passwords plaintext?
Given people tend to re-use passwords, I'd imagine having a massive trove of plaintext passwords for all Chinese citizens, or even anyone who communicates with them, would be incredibly useful.
Not to mention the fact that they have to maintain a list of anti-CCP passwords, which would be a tedious process, or they'd have to automate something to detect anti-CCP sentiment. I think an interesting experiment would be to see what less obvious anti-CCP passwords get you banned. With enough probing and data, I'd possibly increase my wager to 10%.
As a well known and outspoken critic of the CCP, she might be elevated to the status where they actually just have a person reading everything she types into WeChat 24/7. Do you think they fully staff the night shift, or would the ban have taken twice as long outside of Chinese business hours?
Well it depends on what you mean. I'd say there's basically a 100% chance they can access your account. In a properly designed system for this, there would be a feature for allowing certain admin users to log in as an arbitrary user and access all of their information as them, without ever seeing or typing their password, so the actual password is kept secure and there are logs of which admin "ghosts" which user accounts when.
Would I bet that the Chinese Government has this properly implemented and can't access passwords once set? Yeah no way.
To be clear, I wouldn't bet it all that the passwords are stored in plaintext. But I would bet it all that the CCP has their own special key and/or backdoor access which allows them to continue having omnipotence and omniscience while keeping pesky foreign powers out.