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by sam
2202 days ago
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There are a few reasons why the investment is flowing. 1) New enabling technologies, including high temperature superconducting tape, algorithms for plasma control and diagnostics which take advantage of new hardware (GPUs), and advanced manufacturing techniques are now available. 2) Optimism that private companies can synthesize the past 70 years of plasma physics research with these enabling technologies to develop transformative approaches to fusion. If you're interested I wrote a short article about this topic a few months ago, https://www.fusionenergybase.com/article/the-number-of-fusio... |
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I don't know about that. Here's a few bullet points from [1] (which someone else linked to in this thread; it describes the approach taken by these guys at TAE) that don't inspire a whole lot of confidence:
"Our prior is “reasonable”, but is it really the marginal distribution over all possible plasmas? hahahahhahahaha. We model many effects, but plasmas are complex beasts and we do not model all. We only have one measurement, of much smaller dimension than our unknowns. We never sample from the tails. takes too long to get samples. by definition you can’t really validate them. Will we ever know we’re right about anything? we have zero golden data"
[1] http://hyperion.usc.edu/UQ-SummerSchool/pres/Langmore.pdf