[matthewdgreen]

> Other countries will catch up to their numbers.

The fatality rate seems to be declining globally, in part due to improved treatment. Even if that was the only objection to your claim, it would be a serious objection. In addition to that, we're also rapidly learning lessons about how to protect vulnerable patients in care homes (part of the "learning" here is just manufacturing enough PPE to do the job). Many of the elderly patients who died in Sweden's first wave might have been saved if they'd delayed the infections enough to apply what we've learned.