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by lsllc
2212 days ago
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There are clearly other variables related to the _spread_ of C19 (for example public transport -- Texas and California don't have much, whereas it's widely used in Boston, NYC and many European cities). I'm not sure I buy into the climate aspect (Brazil?) ... as for the "fading potency" theory? Maybe. But could it be that as it spreads asymptomatically through the healthy, younger population we're seeing the beginnings of some sort of herd immunity? "They" say we need 60-80% which we're not seeing yet, but clearly it's not going to be a "binary" thing where the spread suddenly stops when we get to 80%. I think if you separate the spread of SARS-Cov2 from the severe/fatal cases of the C19 disease, what's emerging is that it's the elderly and "infirm" that are dying, but not the remainder of the population (aside from those with health issues). Perhaps the death rate correlates to 1) how much SARS-Cov2 has spread asymptomatically within the healthy population and 2) how much of that asymptomatic but healthy population have _interacted_ with elderly people / long term care homes (thus introducing SARS-Cov2 which is devastating to them). |
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Internationally, Brazil is outstripping the US in new cases, and India, Russia, Pakistan, and many others are ahead of the western European countries people are still discussing.
The character of the epidemic has changed rapidly and people don't seem to be paying attention.