[marvin]

«Adopting the Swedish approach» after three months of expanding test capacity, ensuring PPE availability, instituting WFH routines where possible, adopting slightly-inconvenient disinfecting routines and having everyone know to keep distance and report cold symptoms, is not following the Swedish approach. It is something completely different.

The R number will be lower at this later stage than they were in an early-hit country with no preparation.

The biggest mistake Tegnell did for Sweden, was wasting the first month of the epidemic out of hubris. This laid the groundwork for the persistent epidemic they have today, which stands in obvious contrast to their neighboring countries — most of which now have a daily life similar to Sweden, except with the epidemic under control.

10x per capita difference in deaths as compared to Norway, 5x to Denmark. Similar for other markers. Initial conditions similar, except for different response from leadership.