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by confuseshrink
2212 days ago
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I find it very surprising that someone would rely on unvalidated mathematical models for this, that goes for the Imperial College people as well as Sweden. Are they even able to fit the parameters in retrospect? Anyone with a background in mathematical modelling should be extremely cautious of applying models in situations where there are serious ramifications to getting the wrong answer. Hubris. |
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I think "locking millions of people inside" is one of the most serious ramifications you can imagine too. It's like we lost all grip of what suffering and cost is so long as we save lives. I'm not saying we should value lives highly but we sure didn't value them this highly last year and we probably won't next year...