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by em500
2212 days ago
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Yes, it's a bit of a puzzle. From most accounts Japan had some of the loosest government restrictions in the world, with relatively little contact tracing or testing, and their outcomes so far has not been bad at all (fewer death than most Western countries, more than most Asian). The reality is that nobody really knows why, and there's a long list of potential confounded explanations (https://anond.hatelabo.jp/20200518004632 in Japanese). It's really shocking to me to see to see that in 2020 humanity is so technically advanced (space probes at the edge of the solar system, chips at 7nm), yet so ignorant (how much do face masks, school closures, or climate differences affect the virus spread?) https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-05-22/did-japan... |
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Shows how hard this is to actually find out. We have an enormous set of natural experiments and still each result is giving rise to more questions than answers. Are smokers better off? Does malaria drug X really help? How much do masks help? Do kids spread it a lot? Why are men more affected? We have no clue. We probably never will either, for many of the questions!