[iso947]

There are three level of excess deaths in E+W

Those that are defiantly covid

Those that mention covid on the certificate

Those in excess of level of normal deaths over last 5 years

That puts covid deaths at between 40k and 70k. With an IFR across the country of between 1 and 2% based on the latest antibody tests.

That’s disastrous and we can only hope that either the most vulnerable have been disproportionately exposed or the antibody tests are massively overreading false negatives.

[jansan]

Doesn't the third level also include those who died from the side effects caused by the lockdown?

[iso947]

Yes, hence the large gap in death estimation