[bobthepanda]

Demand doesn't necessarily have to be US demand, though.

For the past few decades US consumer demand has done a lot of heavy lifting for the global economy. Why can't more of this come from other big markets like Germany or China?

[411111111111111]

The only product the USA produces inside its borders that's actually in demand globally is culture (movies, tv shows etc).

[redis_mlc]

Boeing was the USA's largest exporter, until they forgot that the aerospace business requires, you know, aerospace engineering.

[tonyedgecombe]

and software (Google, Microsoft, Facebook, etc).

[411111111111111]

I'd consider them multinational at best. They'll stop targeting USA first as soon as it's more profitable to do so.

They did start there though, that's for sure!

[082349872349872]

If you want germans and chinese to import your production, you'll need to raise standards to meet theirs. For pork, this has already started happening: Hormel, JBS, and Tyson are no longer taking ractopamine-dosed hogs, even though they're still legal to sell to US consumers.

[bobthepanda]

To be quite clear, I'm not saying that only US goods need to be bought by Germans and Chinese. Those consumers are generally thrifty overall relative to their share of the global economy, and a global economy based on one country's consumer demand is simply not going to be a healthy one.

High German savings was one of the things that led to the Euro crisis, since you cannot simultaneously run trade surpluses with all your neighbors and then be surprised when they are running deficits as a result. In the same vein, Chinese over-saving has led to a domestic property bubble that is a house of cards waiting to fall apart once people can invest their savings in something that isn't an apartment.

As far as your point about global goods, I don't think that China, a place where hundreds of thousands of infants were poisoned due to illegal substitutions in baby formula, and people get told to look for reused "gutter oil" in street food, has a leg to stand on when it comes to food safety.

[082349872349872]

You can start shorting chinese real estate: I was just reading the other day that WTI going negative had badly burned many chinese retail investors. (as for germany, I'd call that an argument against currency unification ... but that's an entirely different thread)

If a country saves too much forex, one can slap sanctions on them for being a "currency manipulator". If a firm saves too much cash on hand, one can find a corporate raider (which the germans and chinese also have) to make a hostile LBO.

However, for thrifty households, there don't appear to be any similar sticks, only carrots. How would you propose to incentivise german and chinese households to consume more than they do?