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by hnra 2224 days ago
Unless you are allowed to ask questions or gain some prior knowledge, isn't the outcome of picking a black marble (given that you have to put all marbles into the bags) 50%?

~50/50 -> .5x(2/5) + .5x(3/5) = .5

~0/1 -> .5x0 + .5x1 = .5