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by user_50123890 2227 days ago
This reassures the hypothesis that you probably won't catch the virus from a brief contact in a grocery store or similar if you keep your distance.

Infections happen within families, and spread from one family to another by friends/coworkers. The infected people should be easily able to list all exposed out by name.

An exception is of course mass indoors public events that are forbidden now. This is where a contact tracing app would probably prove to be the most useful.

3 comments

Incidental contact is unlikely to matter in most cases. However, multiple people at different tables where infected at a restaurant from a single customer. So, it doesn’t take that much.
Or on public transport. New York's subway system was probably it's Achilles heel during this outbreak.
Except Staten Island had the second most cases per capita. Lots of the obvious NYC theories have holes where you look at places affected.
People who live or work on Staten Island used mta services, including subways, heavily.
Maybe ferries cause the same kinds of problems as subways do.
Yes Public transport is probably the best use case for contact tracing. A combination of location history and fare card data will work for buses. For trains it's a bit trickier since you want to resolve that you're in the same car, and Bluetooth would work well in this case.
I see these methods as a way to capture in depth contact between strangers (Public transportation, Lyft/Uber, ...) and to double check our memories.
How about that restaurant study where lots of people at tables behind the guy next to the air conditioner flow got it:

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/20/health/airflow-coronaviru...