[dnautics]

My recollection, which could be flawed, were that some experts projected millions of deaths even with lockdown. Moreover I recall the experts not disclaiming their predictions, which is a huge problem. The fact of the matter is that we don't know what would have happened, and experts and policymakers alike (IMO) are in desperate need to figuring out how to convey uncertainty with honesty, ahead of time, not retrospectively. Treat your information consumers with respect for their intelligence and they just might not act like idiots.