[xondono]

Why would you assume that I’m assuming everyone is evil?

I’m just assuming that people generally follow incentives and thus averages will reflect them. If you need any evidence for “People follow incentives”, we have full branches of studies built on that premise.

My guess would be that you’re assuming I think people would lie, and you find lying reprehensible (I don’t).

In any case, IMO the biggest problems here are that apples to apples comparisons are very hard to make, and long term effects are essentially unknowable.