Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by danans 2237 days ago
Hopefully, one of the things that we price in going forward is the volatility in the price of oil vs alternatives, especially those that can be produced domestically in a way decoupled from international events. That includes natural gas and especially renewables. Remember that just a 6 years ago, oil was north of $100/barrel [1], and recently it's close to zero. Wind on the other hand has had a steadily reducing LCOE[2][3]. Solar's LCOE is also steadily reducing [3].

Volatility has a cost. With oil, it's one that the US and other countries hae historically tried to dampen with various industrial and political methods (the national strategic oil reserve, military/political "influence" on foreign oil producers, subsidies for domestic production), but seems like the current situation is beyond those methods' ability to control.

1. https://www.macrotrends.net/1369/crude-oil-price-history-cha...

2. https://www.energy.gov/sites/prod/files/2015/08/f25/LCOE.pdf

3.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cost_of_electricity_by_source#...

4. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cost_of_electricity_by_source#...