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>> “ COVID-19 is affecting people right now. It, and other viruses like the flu, are just a giant rhythm game: if everyone could be isolated for 2 weeks, it would be over in 2 weeks, and we'd never have to deal with it ever again.” Above claim includes set of assumptions that are unsaid and likely unaccounted for, for example: - isolation occurs per person, not per household. - 14 days is enough; research I’ve seen claims that only covers 97.5% of the population, which clearly is not 100% of the population; meaning that in 2.5% of the cases, it took longer than 14-days for the individual to become systemic; longest claim I have seen is 28 days, but that’s clearly an outlier may have been due to error of some sort. - 14-days assumes you’re systemic on the first day of isolation, though mean time to becoming systemic in not zero days, it’s 5-days. - assumes no latent environmental infection, wildlife based exposure, no bad actors intentionally reinfecting a population, etc - simply put, no, 14-days is not enough, and few people understand the dynamics at play. |