[obastani]

This statistic is very hard to interpret without additional context. If 99% of people stay at home, the of course most people who get infected would have stayed at home. Older people, who are more likely to need hospitalization, are also more likely to stay at home. People who continue to commute to work are likely being more careful, and may also be benefitting from fewer others commuting, which reduces the risks of going outside.

The relevant metric is how many fewer people have caught it due to the lockdown, and assuming the numbers are accurate, it's pretty clear that the lockdown has substantially reduced the infection rate.

[namelosw]

And it could be very misguiding for most people, combining with the title.

It also could be those easy targets get infected first, then people indoor. Either way, the metric seems to be not very helpful and extremely misguiding.

[ashtonkem]

People who stay at home are also likely to be some of the last people to get sick.