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by mulmen 2238 days ago
Isn’t this textbook survivorship bias? Dozens of successes out of how many failures and how much misallocated capital?
2 comments

Well, no, because for each VC portfolio, it's either profitable off the survivors, or it isn't.

The point is that from the perspective of investors, the survival of an individual startup is an irrelevant metric. What they're interested in is the profitability of the whole portfolio.

And so far, a 90% failure rate with <5% wild success is a profitable formula. As long as that remains true, they have no reason to change it.

Ask that to someone trying to find housing off Sand Hill Road in Palo Alto.