[bwooceli]

I've run into a number of southern KC suburbanites who are all convinced they had it. One had attended a thing in Vegas in Jan and came back with bad con-crud. Two houses down the whole family is certain they all had it. I'm super skeptical, because the pattern we've seen in "real" hotspots like NY just don't play out the same. It is feasible that it's really only truly devastating to dense populations, but until we have any kind of reliable testing on the infection and recovered side, the only # we can use is the death rate over normal. And that view seems to point in the direction of people not actually having it until after Feb. But here we are, having exhausted 2 months of our collective patience and not demonstrably further along in our ability to measure this thing.

[Marsymars]

The other reason to be skeptical is simply by looking at the positive test rate of jurisdictions with high levels of testing. I was also ill in February and then again in March, but the rate of positive tests for COVID-19 in my area has never made it above low single-digits, so just by the numbers, it's pretty unlikely I had it.