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There's clearly something going on, but nobody knows what could be. I live in LATAM, Corrientes, AR, it is a region barely touched by the virus, and yeah, people is everywhere, social distancing is being ignored most of the time (private meetings everywhere). Initially we had fewer visitors, but for almost a month we were open to all kind of traffic (air, buses, cars), from at least 3 countries and several regions (we're a traffic hub in the Mercosur). Right infront of my city, there's a red zone, Resistencia, it has been like that for almost 2 months, they should be in full quarentine mode, but they aren't following it to the letter, even like that, the cases are very slowly increasing, but everybody was expecting thousands of cases, they're just getting to a couple of hundreds (340 till today). There's a lot of public transport going on in that city and in my city, so you could think, these two places should be like NY or Madrid by now, even going slowly, but no, there are no more than 340 cases in Resistencia (most of them already recovered), in Corrientes we only have 18 infected (a total of 50 cases in two months). The health system in both cities is doing surprinsingly well, few beds occupied and ICUs cases, most COVID19 diagnosed are kept in their houses, along with their families, then, 10-15 days later, all of them are tested, the affected one usually is now ok, and in very few cases some members living with him are testing positive. It's a kind of surprise, but the contaiment protocoal is being followed just like that till now, because it is not expanding the virus as expected (the first cases were expected to propagate to family members, and it didn't happened and it keeps not happening for most of the cases). Obviously most of the cases - almost all - are mild, and the containment protocol was followed to keep the health system free for severe cases. So, last week the Corrientes governor started to open all business (schools and public office are still closed), they're somewhat enforcing distancing measures, but there are thousand of people out there right now. So we are going to see what happens from here, we are just starting the winter here, but you know, nobody knows exactly what's stopping or slowing the virus in regions/cities like mine. |