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by brennanpeterson 2245 days ago
Take any large multivariate problem and look for a regressor against some dimension. Say, car speed. You will find that there is a good variable that links that. But that variable won't be explanatory or even correct.

A much better explanation here, from the fairly wonderful blog of cosma shalizi http://bactra.org/weblog/523.html

And most importantly, it won't be predictive.