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by ryankemper
2244 days ago
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> So you are telling me, that you write an article with misstakes and think you should be the person making statements because you are able to write an article? Yes, I am a person that makes and is currently making mistakes. > And you also think, that politicians are doing an economycal suicide just because they like it? I analyzed the "game theory" of this a bit here: https://www.ryankemper.io/post/2020-04-29-the_case_for_endin... > Hanlon’s Razor is very relevant here; we think it is not reasonable to assume that they were trying to usher in a techno-totalitarian state. Rather, they were trying to prevent mortality, but their incentive structure is such that it is much worse to have done nothing and later find out that the virus was worse than we thought, than what actually happened, which is to have undertaken actions that were self-destructive and then discovered that the virus was way less deadly than we thought. |
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There are plenty of people coming to me and say stuff like 'uh why does that take so long' 'i can do that quickly in an hour' etc. and at the end of the day they are wrong.
In those cases, i would just love for people to accept my expertise and let me do what i'm good at because it costs time dealing with this stuff.
And you know, all those speculations of people who are sitting down for a few hours, writing something, gathering a little bit of data left, a little bit of data right THIS IS RIDICULOUS.
You are not an economist, you are not a doctor, you are not a virologist, you are not the statistics guy. Apparently you are a SRE.
What do you think, your statement actually does? I tell you what it does, if it even does anything: It works against all the experts trying to actually do their fucking job on estimating and deciding on a daily bases about human lives.
Do you know what i decided when corona started? I will, this time, just try to be as undisruptive to the society as i can. I don't have to argue against or for it, i will trust the experts and politicians on this one.
Not everyone needs to form an opinion and also state it.
And yes it might be harder for you to believe in your president right now, i do get that. But let me give you a tip: Whenever everyone would love to stop quarantaen today, i will try to avoid public spaces as long as i can, because the risk of having corona, is actually for me, a bigger problem then just staying low for a few month.