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by q084yn39cptyth
2239 days ago
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Related to this is that the current circumstances are different from, say, 2008, which was a sort of internal collapse. A lot of this is external, regulation-driven. Not saying it's not a bad situation, or all government shutdowns of the economy, but there is a big element of it. A lot of businesses are cutting back because people can't go out and do what they'd normally do legally. So when governments start easing restrictions, people [stockholders] are probably more optimistic because the situation seems more tractable. It's a lot more predictable than 2008 when people were talking about the collapse of fundamental financial institutions and systems involved in monetary supply because of their underlying structural composition. I do think there's some disconnects in interpreting the stock market, but it seems to me investors are just seeing restrictions being eased, daily COVID case counts on a downward trajectory, etc. They're reinvesting in markets they see a path of recovery in, early. What's less certain to me is if in say, July, this all gets worse again with overrun hospitals, etc. in a second wave. Then markets might really take a nosedive. |
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