[__blockcipher__]

What makes you so sure of that? The hospitalization rates per https://old.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/g4tqvk/dutch_antib... (this is extrapolated from serological data but is in the right ballpark) suggest that not as many would have been taken out of the workforce as you think.

Now, the number of sick days will be far higher than the number of hospitalization-days. But if we're comparing losing, say, 25% of our efficiency, to losing 100% of it...yeah, it actually wouldn't be as massive as most people think.

Anyway, a better characterization of my view is that I view containment as an unworkable strategy (and everything we're seeing in the US further proves that, IMO), therefore we didn't actually avoid any true mortality by locking down. Rather we just postponed it.

We never overwhelmed our healthcare system, and due to cancelling elective surgeries and other important preventative care, we have actually scaled _down_ our healthcare capacity by a massive amount across the country. Tens of thousands of healthcare workers furloughed. How is that sane policy?