[wtvanhest]

So far, the highest estimates we are getting for antibodies are in the 20% range with dramatically flawed populations (NYC grocery).

Real number is less than that and could be way less than that.

Lockdowns create their own form of havoc, but I think they were the right decision at the time until we had more information.

Now we need to figure a low risk way forward

[hsitz]

In addition, there's little doubt that the infection has spread far more widely in NYC area than elsewhere. The covid-19 death rate per capita in NYC is 3 to 20 times higher other areas of the U.S. So even if NYC area had 20% who had been infected, that would not mean the rest of the country was anywhere close to that; other areas would not be close to NYC infection rate unless there death rates were similar.