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by nybble41
2243 days ago
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In the end it's still a debt. The nominal value in USD may not be all that important, since the Fed can manipulate it more or less at will, but you're still borrowing productivity from the future—by consuming capital—and that debt will be repaid one way or another. |
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Of course not all economic activity creates capital at the same rate, and I do definitely agree that the type of economic activity you get during and after a recession with massive QE is likely of a lower quality than what you'd get otherwise. But it may still be that more capital (wealth) is created this way then if you allow the economy to completely shut down.
I also disagree with the premise that recessions/depressions are good because they clear out dead or dying companies. Dead or dying companies do die under such circumstances, but so do really innovative ventures that have not yet reached comfortable sustainable profitability. A mega-recession right now might take out a lot of junk, but we'd also risk losing stuff like SpaceX, Tesla, Boom Supersonic, and hundreds of small innovative startups. We might also lose the whole renewable energy revolution and any work being done on next-gen nuclear power like small modular reactors.
In short we'd lose both the bottom and the top end of the innovation curve, keeping just the boring middle.