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by lazylizard 2256 days ago
I mean. In all likelihood covid 19 will last at least 2 years(til successful vaccine)? Wouldn't it be likely that most countries populations cannot stay at home that long? Not even intermittently(like 2mths locked down every 6mths)? Whereas if the swedes dont overwhelm their hospitals they can go on like this for as long as they like?
2 comments

> In all likelihood covid 19 will last at least 2 years(til successful vaccine)?

Why not hoping for some drug development to bring the disease to clinically manageable levels? There are far more drugs in trials than vaccines (even though I expect the majority to miss the mark, as is the case with drug development).

Hope for the best of course. But prepare for the worst.
If we can get a vaccine in under 6 years it would be unprecedented. 2 years would be astonishing. Most take 8-10 to go from lab work to peoples arms.

Waiting for a vaccine is not a good long term strategy. If a country can lock down long enough to kill its own spread it can re-open its economy safely so long as international borders remain closed.

> If a country can lock down long enough to kill its own spread it can re-open its economy safely so long as international borders remain closed.

I really feel you're understating how impossibly difficult this would be for a large country

There are multiple vaccines in first round human safety trials.

Like, they've injected people with them.