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by acchow 2252 days ago
citation please?
3 comments

Look up a death toll

Look up population

Derive percentage

https://www.google.com/search?q=nyc+population says 8.4M

https://www.google.com/search?q=corona+death+toll+nyc says 10k

https://nypost.com/2020/04/18/nyc-coronavirus-deaths-near-13... says 13k

This gives 0.1%. The OP's numbers are based on 6M population & 15k deaths. I believe their trying to cite total deaths, not just covid-19 related. Their NYC region also seems to be more localized

As of today, 10,344 confirmed deaths [0] from COVID-19, of a population of 8.4m [1] is 0.12% [2].

This is less than the original parent states, but only by 2x.

[0] https://www.google.com/search?client=safari&rls=en&q=coronav...

[1] https://www.google.com/search?client=safari&rls=en&q=nyc+pop...

[2] Elementary math?

Not all the deaths are tested for COVID. Those that aren't don't make it into the stats. [1]

Overall mortality, compared to the baseline, has skyrocketed in the past few weeks. For the March 4 - April 4 time period, it was double the usual rate. [2]

[1] https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/0...

[2] https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/10/upshot/corona...

Yes, this is a very obvious and severe underestimate for sure. But the point is that the death rate must be at least 0.12%!
NYS has 18,776 deaths as of today’s count.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

That’s New York State. My numbers are for the city proper.
Doesn't seem quite right but not too far off. .25% of NYC's population is 21,000.

Johns Hopkins shows 14,451 deaths as of now: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.h...