[arcticbull]

Re 1: Hardest hit would be the most helpful place to study. And I look forward to continued updates. The Stanford study, while there's certainly questions, has numbers in line with the Gangelt study. [1]

Re 2: Because much of the audience here is American, and there's not a similar study of the US population.

Re 3: No, the COVID-19 mortality rate is not 5.3%. The case fatality rate is 5.3%. Those are not the same, for an obvious reason -- currently the overwhelming majority of tests are carried out on people who go to hospital because they're sick. It's adverse selection bias.

For instance, it'd be like trying to measure the fatality rate of skydiving by measuring the odds that someone who ends up in the hospital with a skydiving injury dies. You'd think it's 99% fatal, but of course, it's not.

All you know is the numerator, not the denominator.

[1] https://www.stanforddaily.com/2020/04/17/santa-clara-county-...