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"ICU admissions [...] have very little lag." Sweden's ICU admissions number for a particular day usually takes a week or two to settle down. For instance, here's how the numbers were updated each following day for the number of ICU admissions on the second of April: 42, 42, 43, 46, 47, 49, 48, 49, 49, 49, 49, 52. So it took until the 14. of April for the reporting of the second of April to settle down---and we still don't know if it's going to change again or not. Source: I copied the numbers from the official site https://www.icuregswe.org/data--resultat/covid-19-i-svensk-i... As far as I can tell, the official site doesn't record a history of what they reported, so the history is just what I manually copied to a file once a day when I happened to look. Do I think the lag is crucial? No. But it's unexpected to me. |