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by james-skemp 2254 days ago
A lot of this situation reminds me of Y2K planning, but your comment is really spot on. Thank you.

Y2K is going to be a big deal if we don't do anything about it. We do something about it. People complain Y2K wasn't a big deal.

That, like this, means we're doing things right. Maybe we're going a little extreme, but the alternative is likely worse, and there is never a magic dial to spend just the right amount of effort/money/time.

3 comments

:-) I've made that comparison before too. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22559590
I remember that article but not your comment; that article made me realize that I had forgotten the science behind soap, and just knew that it was good to use. :)

It's unfortunate that it's so easy to find preparation wasteful when it ends up not being necessary. But, we all have different life experiences.

Running with the Y2K analogy though, social distancing is like punting the Y2K issue down the road by a matter of weeks.
We had plenty of warning and time to prepare for Y2K and knew for certain that it was coming - neither of which is true for Covid-19. If the entire world had somehow only realized in June 1999 that Y2K would be a problem, they absolutely would have done everything possible to gain even a few more weeks.
Yeah, it's like inverse survivor bias.