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by throwaway_pdp09
2261 days ago
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> good evidence that the Basic Reproduction Number is somewhere between 2-3. May be about double that. Per wiki article, I noticed this a few days ago (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019%E2%80%9320_outbreak_of_no...) "Initial estimates of the basic reproduction number (R0) for COVID-19 in January were between 1.4 and 2.5,[381] but a subsequent statistical analysis has concluded that it may be much higher.[382]" From that link wiki provided (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/7/20-0282_article) (edit: and note this is published on the CDC website) "...we calculated a median R0 value of 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9)" So this sucks harder then. |
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