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by ben_w 2258 days ago
Another explanation is that the exact infection level isn’t important when the observed all-causes fatality rate is double [0] its seasonal average and everyone is therefore busy firefighting the immediate and obvious problems.

[0] varies by region, but see for example this graph of London: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EVlO-28XQAA30xu?format=jpg&name=...

1 comments

Don't take my word for it.

Here is an article by a Stanford epidemiologist calling for random testing a month ago: https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-a...

We need data to act objectively. As far as I can tell US state governments are doing all they can to prevent random data from being released.

What's the motivation?

I see plenty of motivation in some states to try to minimize the potential magnitude of the problem, or avoid "bad" numbers of infection rates.

I don't see a motivation for "milking" the crisis. The current actions by governments are restricting economic activity and revenue streams. Many states only make money on sales tax and that's probably not going super well right now.

I agree that there is hesitation to do widespread testing, but I don't know which government would intentionally cause a recession using this virus as an excuse.

The parent is parroting a conservative talking point: That the current situation is being pushed by democrats to hurt the economy and thus Trump
A month ago I would’ve agreed with the article you linked to. I’m suggesting that right now there’s probably enough information in merely the death count to say “we need to do something! Argh, panic!” — and governments, regional and national, are doing just that worldwide.