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by squidproquo
2256 days ago
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Interesting article. In late March I built a simple SEIRD model for a few US states with python. It was very difficult to estimate R0. R0 is essentially Beta/Gamma, where Beta^-1 is is time between contacts and Gamma^-1 is the time until recovery. I think what should be added to this analysis is population density. Each state has a different rate that people come into contact with one another. It would make sense that R0 in NYC is much higher than in Iowa. Also this website is crowdsourcing US COVID-19 mortality forecasts if anyone is into data modeling: https://www.unitarity.com/app/challenges/us-coronavirus-outb... This website |
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