Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by vearwhershuh 2263 days ago
That's an impossibly certain statement given the evidence you have offered.

The linked article does not say that the cities locked down, only that they implemented what they call Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). They didn't say that they locked everyone inside.

The evidence offered shows that the west wasn't has hard hit as the east. I can think of all sorts of confounding variables in that situation, particularly back then when the east was much more heavily industrialized.

It is possible that if we had quarantined the at risk population and focused our efforts on reasonable NPIs such as masks and social distancing, we could have kept the economy open, leading to far less suffering and death in the long run. Hysterical black-and-white choices like we are being given are their own form of gas-lighting.

1 comments

What do you think “non pharmaceutical intervention” are? It’s quarantines. It’s masks. And yes, there were quarantines as dramatic as today’s. Case in point: St Louis.

https://www.history.com/news/spanish-flu-pandemic-response-c...

OK. Did LA? Portland? Seattle? Seattle rebounded the fastest, what did they do? (Of course this is a pointless question, it was a completely different time and the data here is impossibly corrupt and old.)

Are there other variables involved? Were those different times? Grand Rapids had the lowest mortality rate and, if I'm reading the chart right, had no NPIs. Why?

People pushing these hysterical false dichotomies (coupled with a hefty amount virtue signalling) are going to be responsible for a huge amount of human suffering in the coming months and years.