[balls187]

> Right now, 0.1% of the US has had Covid-19. For heard immunity we need that number to be at least 500 times larger.

Would deaths scale linearly with a 500x increase?

How about the impact on our medical system, would that scale linearly with a 500x increase?

[nostromo]

And how will our lives look if we continue this quarantine for a decade -- which at our current level of infection (which has leveled off) is the minimum time it would take to gain heard immunity?

[balls187]

> And how will our lives look if we continue this quarantine for a decade

Probably look at Iraq and Afghanistan has dealt with post 9/11.

Speaking strictly in terms of the US, we'd be able to weather a 10-year lockdown. America is rich in natural resources, and has a large agricultural base.

Our government can handle the basics:

Drinking water

Food

Shelter

The rest would be economic shifts, such as reduction in costs of living to account for a new economy that has shifted away from the ability to get together.

I would speculate we're better off with the entirety of the economy being in shambles, than we would be by having rather high mortality rates, and overwhelming our health services.

Let me post another question:

What if you did not need to work to have your any of needs met?

[SpicyLemonZest]

I have socialization needs which shelter-in-place orders forbid me from meeting.

[balls187]

The current laws would need to be adapted to allow for some socialization.

Processes and procedures would need to be put in place to ensure safety.

Society would need to adapt to meet those needs.

[SpicyLemonZest]

I'm not sure that society can in fact adapt to such strict restrictions. People in Afghanistan didn't take the decade off from socializing, even though there was a significant risk of getting killed.

[Invictus0]

Herd immunity is not the only way out; there is a lot of room between a decade and the time to get a vaccine to market.