[_-___________-_]

Yes, although reality seems to be disagreeing with the models more and more. You have countries in southeast Asia with community transmission but no lockdown, and countries in Europe with the military enforcing a strict lockdown, and the latter are far worse off in terms of hospital admissions and deaths per capita than the former.

[pinkfoot]

Did the European countries not get their transmissions before they implemented a lockdown?

My understanding is it takes 1 - 3 weeks to see the effect of a lockdown?