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by stevenmays 2258 days ago
I am speculating:

1) pricing in the return of US manufacturing. In a pandemic, it's every country for themselves. We've outsourced items critical for national sovereignty and the ability to respond to crises. I think left and right agrees now, that's a risk which needs to be mitigated.

2) govt has unprecedented support, in terms of small business loans and benefits

3) bonds and stocks are usually inversely correlated, they are not because the fed is buying up a significant portion of the debt, at low rates. Meaning your not getting much return if you hold bonds.

4) Capital flight from foreign markets. If you can't trust China, and emerging markets are going to get hit worse, then the US is where you want your money.

5) Less uncertainty.

6) More speculation that this virus is not as bad as we think. We're well below the expected deaths on the models, which means the models are wrong, by a factor of multiples.